FSV Zwickau 1-0 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 33%
+27% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.88/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.72
+10% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
02.08.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-2 HT 0-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
05.05.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 4-2 HT 2-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
24.11.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-2 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over Greifswalder SV 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FSV Zwickau and 2.50 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Greifswalder SV?

FSV Zwickau 1-0 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 47%, draw 29%, Greifswalder SV 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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