Greifswalder SV 4-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.61
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.11.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-2 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
4-2
AWAY FSV Zwickau
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV saw off FSV Zwickau 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 57% of the ball to FSV Zwickau's 43%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau?

Greifswalder SV 4-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 51%, draw 28%, FSV Zwickau 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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