Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
2-2
HT 1-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
0-3
HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
3-2
HT 2-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
1-2
HT 0-2
Homburg
ALMBÖL
2-2
HT 1-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
Homburg 1-2 Mainz 05 II — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 II edged past Homburg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Homburg had 51% of the ball to Mainz 05 II's 49%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Homburg and 2.00 for Mainz 05 II.
What was the final score of Homburg vs Mainz 05 II?
Homburg 1-2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs Mainz 05 II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Homburg 45%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 II 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg) went the other way.