Luckenwalde 2-2 Hansa Rostock II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock II EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.68/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.56
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hansa Rostock II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.10.2023 Hansa Rostock II Hansa Rostock II 1-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luckenwalde
2-2
AWAY Hansa Rostock II
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Hansa Rostock II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde and Hansa Rostock II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Luckenwalde at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Luckenwalde had 37% of the ball to Hansa Rostock II's 63%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Hansa Rostock II?

Luckenwalde 2-2 Hansa Rostock II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Hansa Rostock II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 41%, draw 27%, Hansa Rostock II 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luckenwalde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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