Viktoria Berlin 2-0 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.73/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.39
+2% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.11.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
15.02.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 3-0 HT 2-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
15.08.2020 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
2-0
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin saw off Chemnitzer FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Berlin as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 48% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 52%, shots finished 13-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.00 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?

Viktoria Berlin 2-0 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 45%, draw 27%, Chemnitzer FC 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✗ BTTS Yes
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