Stuttgart II 1-0 Aalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalen EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.78/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.65
-9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aalen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Aalen Aalen 2-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II ALMBÖL
31.03.2023 Aalen Aalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 3-1 HT 1-1 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
18.03.2022 Aalen Aalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 1-2 HT 1-1 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
04.10.2020 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-2 HT 2-2 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
1-0
AWAY Aalen
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs Aalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II squeezed past Aalen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 65% of the ball to Aalen's 35%, shots finished 7-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stuttgart II and 1.33 for Aalen.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs Aalen?

Stuttgart II 1-0 Aalen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs Aalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 51%, draw 24%, Aalen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
5 May 2024
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
14:00 Luckenwalde vs Hansa Rostock II Analysis →
14:00 Greifswalder SV vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
15:00 FSV Frankfurt vs Eintracht Frankfurt II Analysis →
15:00 Paderborn 07 II vs Velbert Analysis →
15:00 Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Analysis →