SGV Freiberg 1-1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2025

SGV Freiberg
1-1 HT 0-0
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

SGV Freiberg vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.7pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SGV Freiberg v Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sonnenhof Grossaspach EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.19/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.57
-30% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg and Sonnenhof Grossaspach couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SGV Freiberg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

SGV Freiberg 1-1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 52%, draw 20%, Sonnenhof Grossaspach 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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