Middelfart 0-3 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

Middelfart
0-3 HT 0-1
AC Horsens
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Middelfart vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.91
1/2
13%
25.5
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
9%
8.47
X/2
19%
4.31
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.45
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 56%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
0.53/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.14
-56% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
24.1 Crosses 21.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Middelfart vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.35 xG 3.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
278 Passes 518
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2025 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN1
03.10.2018 Middelfart Middelfart 0-3 HT 0-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAK

Middelfart 0-3 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
0-3
AWAY AC Horsens
0.09 xG 1.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 407
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens cruised past Middelfart 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Middelfart had 47% of the ball to AC Horsens's 53%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.09 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AC Horsens led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Middelfart and 2.50 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs AC Horsens?

Middelfart 0-3 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 25%, draw 28%, AC Horsens 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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