Hillerod 1-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.17
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.24
X/2
15%
6.69
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.64
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 13% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
1.57/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.72
+12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
14.5 Crosses 20.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hvidovre
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
346 Passes 388
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
01.11.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
20.08.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.01.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 7-2 HT 5-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre HAZ
25.02.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
05.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
1-1
AWAY Hvidovre
0.62 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
433 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod and Hvidovre shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hillerod at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hillerod had 55% of the ball to Hvidovre's 45%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.62 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hillerod and 1.50 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Hvidovre?

Hillerod 1-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 43%, draw 26%, Hvidovre 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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