Hvidovre 3-1 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.87
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.92
X/2
15%
5.49
X/X
10%
4.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.45
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.15/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.01
-23% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.3 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
417 Passes 335
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
20.08.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.01.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 7-2 HT 5-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre HAZ
25.02.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
05.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
3-1
AWAY Hillerod
1.36 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
273 Passes 390
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre got the better of Hillerod 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Hvidovre made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hvidovre had 43% of the ball to Hillerod's 57%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Hvidovre and 2.00 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Hillerod?

Hvidovre 3-1 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 35%, draw 26%, Hillerod 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hillerod) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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