Middelfart 1-0 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.32
1/2
8%
24.1
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
9%
8.99
X/2
15%
4.19
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.26
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.70/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.69
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
20.5 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2022 Middelfart Middelfart 1-3 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
27.08.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
05.09.2015 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-3 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
12.09.2014 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-0
AWAY Kolding IF
0.94 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 10
300 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart squeezed past Kolding IF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Middelfart had 46% of the ball to Kolding IF's 54%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middelfart and 1.75 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Kolding IF?

Middelfart 1-0 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 28%, draw 26%, Kolding IF 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kolding IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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