Aarhus Fremad 3-0 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
7%
9.29
X/X
7%
5.3
2/1
8%
21.95
2/2
11%
7.22
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
Crosses 17.8
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
3-0
AWAY Hobro IK
1.80 xG 1.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
466 Passes 437
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 23
3 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad ran out comfortable winners over Hobro IK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 51% of the ball to Hobro IK's 49%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.80 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK?

Aarhus Fremad 3-0 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 54%, draw 21%, Hobro IK 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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