AC Horsens vs Esbjerg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AC Horsens v Esbjerg — Team-Based Signals
AC Horsens vs Esbjerg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Esbjerg
DAN1
AC Horsens 1-0 Esbjerg — Actual Match Statistics
AC Horsens squeezed past Esbjerg 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, AC Horsens had 43% of the ball to Esbjerg's 57%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.44 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AC Horsens's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AC Horsens and 0.50 for Esbjerg.
What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?
AC Horsens 1-0 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?
Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 52%, draw 24%, Esbjerg 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.