AC Horsens 3-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
10%
6.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
9%
9.55
X/X
7%
6.57
2/1
7%
19.45
2/2
12%
6.59
2/X
10%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.93/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.83
-23% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.7 Crosses 11.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Esbjerg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.37 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 Passes 278
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
04.08.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
17.02.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg HAZ
13.03.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
13.08.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
03.07.2020 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
3-2
AWAY Esbjerg
1.17 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
257 Passes 304
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens edged past Esbjerg 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, AC Horsens had 47% of the ball to Esbjerg's 53%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AC Horsens and 0.33 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

AC Horsens 3-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 51%, draw 23%, Esbjerg 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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