Esbjerg 0-1 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 May 2025

Esbjerg
0-1 HT 0-1
AC Horsens
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.68
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
14%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.7
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
12%
6.81
X/2
14%
5.31
X/X
14%
6.02
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
23%
2.94
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.7 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.21/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.3 Crosses 21.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Esbjerg vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY AC Horsens
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
277 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.04.2025 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-2 HT 2-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
14.03.2025 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
04.08.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
17.02.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg HAZ
13.03.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
13.08.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1

Esbjerg 0-1 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-1
AWAY AC Horsens
1.28 xG 1.44
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
517 Passes 225
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens squeezed past Esbjerg 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esbjerg had 65% of the ball to AC Horsens's 35%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.28 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esbjerg and 1.00 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?

Esbjerg 0-1 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 31%, draw 25%, AC Horsens 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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