Odense 1-1 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
11%
6.81
X/X
10%
5.18
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
18%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +29%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.45
+36% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.8 Crosses 12.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
2W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.58 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
450 Passes 392
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN1
03.11.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-4 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN1
21.08.2024 Odense Odense 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
01.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-1 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
1-1
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.84 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
428 Passes 371
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odense vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense and FC Fredericia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Odense had 53% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 47%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.84 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Odense and 1.25 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Odense 1-1 FC Fredericia in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Odense 38%, draw 25%, FC Fredericia 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Over 2.5
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