Odense 3-0 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.41
2-3 Goals
38%
2.12
4-5 Goals
24%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
6%
13.7
X/X
9%
7.01
2/1
6%
19.9
2/2
13%
9.05
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.45
Value flag · 2/X at 15.45 — our 10% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 19%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.75
-21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
Crosses 11.7
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.54 xG 1.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
407 Passes 414
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-1 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
3-0
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.26 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
26 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
525 Passes 331
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
56 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odense vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense ran out comfortable winners over FC Fredericia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Odense had 58% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 42%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.26 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Odense 3-0 FC Fredericia in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Odense 49%, draw 26%, FC Fredericia 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
21 Aug 2024
19:30 Kolding IF vs Esbjerg Analysis →
20:00 Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK Analysis →