Vendsyssel FF 0-3 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.07
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.11
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
21.9 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 4-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
28.04.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
16.03.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.02.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
16.08.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
0-3
AWAY Hobro IK
1.37 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 13
312 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 40
30 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK swept aside Vendsyssel FF 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Hobro IK made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 51% of the ball to Hobro IK's 49%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 1.37 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.50 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?

Vendsyssel FF 0-3 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 40%, draw 27%, Hobro IK 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vendsyssel FF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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