Hobro IK 4-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 13 May 2024

Hobro IK
4-1 HT 0-1
Vendsyssel FF
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.86
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.89
X/2
11%
5.31
X/X
9%
5.08
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.34
2/X
12%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v Vendsyssel FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.56
-39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
22.8 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
16.03.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.02.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
16.08.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
19.05.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1

Hobro IK 4-1 Vendsyssel FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
4-1
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.19 xG 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
24 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 508
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK swept aside Vendsyssel FF 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hobro IK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 40% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 60%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.19 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hobro IK and 1.17 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF?

Hobro IK 4-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 39%, draw 26%, Vendsyssel FF 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Under 2.5
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