Vendsyssel FF 3-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Vendsyssel FF
3-1 HT 0-1
Hobro IK
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.54
X/2
13%
6.96
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.18
2/X
10%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vendsyssel FF v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.17
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
22.0 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hobro IK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.02.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
16.08.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
19.05.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
30.04.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF saw off Hobro IK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Vendsyssel FF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.17 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?

Vendsyssel FF 3-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 39%, draw 28%, Hobro IK 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vendsyssel FF), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
28 Apr 2024
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