Vendsyssel FF 1-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

Vendsyssel FF
1-1 HT 1-1
Hobro IK
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.59
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
9%
7.37
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
16%
6.08
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.15
Value flag · 2/X at 15.15 — our 9% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vendsyssel FF v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.58/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
+2% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.3 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hobro IK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
385 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.02.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
16.08.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
19.05.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
30.04.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
26.02.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-3 HT 0-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1

Vendsyssel FF 1-1 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
1-1
AWAY Hobro IK
0.70 xG 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 Passes 218
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF and Hobro IK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vendsyssel FF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 57% of the ball to Hobro IK's 43%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.70 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.50 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?

Vendsyssel FF 1-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 42%, draw 29%, Hobro IK 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vendsyssel FF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
16 Mar 2024
15:00 B93 Kopenhag vs AC Horsens Analysis →
15:00 Hillerod vs Aalborg Analysis →
15:00 Kolding IF vs Naestved Analysis →
15:00 FC Fredericia vs HB Koge Analysis →
15:00 SonderjyskE vs FC Helsingor Analysis →