FC Fredericia 2-2 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

FC Fredericia
2-2 HT 0-1
HB Koge
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

FC Fredericia vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
22%
3.88
X/2
5%
11.6
X/X
10%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.8
2/2
11%
8.15
2/X
5%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Fredericia v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.63/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.66
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.6 Crosses 15.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

FC Fredericia vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY HB Koge
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.99 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
13.05.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
16.04.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 6-1 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
03.03.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-0 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
02.10.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
18.03.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-2 HT 0-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

FC Fredericia 2-2 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
2-2
AWAY HB Koge
0.76 xG 0.26
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
589 Passes 198
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia and HB Koge couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Fredericia carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 70% of the ball to HB Koge's 30%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 0.76 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Fredericia and 0.83 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

FC Fredericia 2-2 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 57%, draw 22%, HB Koge 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Fredericia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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