Kolding IF 3-3 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
7%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.21
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
3.88
X/2
4%
9.73
X/X
19%
4.62
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
7.99
2/X
4%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.65/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
+9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
27.1 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Naestved
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Naestved Naestved 1-2 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
12.11.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 5-0 HT 2-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
15.08.2021 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
03.07.2020 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
29.02.2020 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN1
23.05.2015 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
3-3
AWAY Naestved
2.63 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
218 Passes 226
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF and Naestved shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kolding IF had 51% of the ball to Naestved's 49%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.63 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kolding IF and 0.67 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Naestved?

Kolding IF 3-3 Naestved in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 50%, draw 28%, Naestved 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kolding IF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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