Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.2
X/2
9%
8.33
X/X
6%
5.58
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
13%
5.98
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.72/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.75
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
24.3 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
16.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
23.10.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
03.09.2022 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
02.08.2022 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAK
31.08.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
1-2
AWAY Esbjerg
1.72 xG 0.58
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
412 Passes 187
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
42 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg squeezed past Kolding IF 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kolding IF had 65% of the ball to Esbjerg's 35%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kolding IF.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kolding IF and 1.00 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?

Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 48%, draw 25%, Esbjerg 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kolding IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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