FC Fredericia 1-0 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.32
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
10%
7.42
X/2
11%
5.13
X/X
8%
4.44
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.97
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.28/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.85
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
17.5 Crosses 23.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Odense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.09 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
436 Passes 422
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-4 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN1
21.08.2024 Odense Odense 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
01.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-1 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
1-0
AWAY Odense
0.47 xG 1.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
261 Passes 535
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia nicked a narrow win over Odense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Odense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 35% of the ball to Odense's 65%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.47 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Odense.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Odense led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Fredericia and 2.67 for Odense.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Odense?

FC Fredericia 1-0 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 28%, draw 25%, Odense 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Odense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →