FC Fredericia 1-4 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
54%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
32%
1.91
4-5 Goals
32%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.74
1/2
5%
21.45
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.4
X/1
9%
11.0
X/2
12%
4.2
X/X
7%
5.73
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
37%
2.01
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 14.4 — our 9% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
54%
Away Win
57%
-2.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 61%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.99/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.60
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
14.1 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Odense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
372 Passes 466
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2024 Odense Odense 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
01.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-1 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
1-4
AWAY Odense
0.95 xG 1.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
562 Passes 333
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense swept aside FC Fredericia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 62% of the ball to Odense's 38%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 0.95 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Fredericia and 2.00 for Odense.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Odense?

FC Fredericia 1-4 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 25%, draw 21%, Odense 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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