Paykan Qazvin 0-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.63
Away
19%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.41
Over 2.5
24%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.19
No
70%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
46%
1.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
12%
6.08
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.95 — our 46% vs market 42.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.5pp
34%
Draw
34%
-0.5pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.1pp
76%
Under 2.5
67%
+8.3pp
24%
Over 2.5
33%
-8.3pp
30%
BTTS Yes
42%
-11.4pp
70%
BTTS No
58%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.64/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.96
-42% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paykan Qazvin
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.05.2024 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
24.11.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
12.03.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
06.10.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
25.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
08.01.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Paykan Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak squeezed past Paykan Qazvin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Paykan Qazvin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paykan Qazvin and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Paykan Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?

Paykan Qazvin 0-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paykan Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paykan Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paykan Qazvin 47%, draw 34%, Aluminium Arak 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paykan Qazvin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paykan Qazvin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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