Paykan Qazvin 0-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
39%
2.58
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.26
Over 2.5
19%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
54%
1.75
2-3 Goals
31%
1.95
4-5 Goals
10%
8.55
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.75 — our 54% vs market 49.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
30%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.6pp
39%
Draw
37%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
81%
Under 2.5
76%
+5.2pp
19%
Over 2.5
24%
-5.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.9pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.85/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.98
-14% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paykan Qazvin
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
24.11.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
12.03.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
06.10.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
25.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
08.01.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
22.04.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Paykan Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak squeezed past Paykan Qazvin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 39% / 27%) promised a tight game; Aluminium Arak found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (81%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paykan Qazvin and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Paykan Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?

Paykan Qazvin 0-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paykan Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paykan Qazvin 34%, draw 39%, Aluminium Arak 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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