Sanat Naft 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 6 May 2024

Sanat Naft
1-0 HT 1-0
Mes Rafsanjan
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-6.5pp
37%
Draw
29%
+8.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanat Naft v Mes Rafsanjan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.92/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.67
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
05.03.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 4-0 HT 2-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
19.05.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-2 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
03.01.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 3-0 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
20.07.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
30.01.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft squeezed past Mes Rafsanjan 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 22% / 37% / 41% — and on the day Sanat Naft made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanat Naft and 1.67 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Sanat Naft 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mes Rafsanjan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 22%, draw 37%, Mes Rafsanjan 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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