Sepahan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 6 May 2024

Sepahan
1-1 HT 1-0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sepahan v Esteghlal Khuzestan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.85/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.09
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
27.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.08.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.01.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
12.08.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
04.05.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan and Esteghlal Khuzestan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Sepahan carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sepahan and 0.67 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Sepahan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 58%, draw 23%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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