Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.49
Draw
36%
3.72
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.38
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.05
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
63%
-23.0pp
37%
Draw
23%
+13.2pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.56/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.00
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zob Ahan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.03.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
25.11.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.09.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-2 HT 1-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
31.03.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0 HT 1-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
14.10.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
13.02.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Zob Ahan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 37% / 24%) promised a tight game; Esteghlal Khuzestan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.50 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 40%, draw 37%, Zob Ahan 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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