Kagoshima United 3-1 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
2.22/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.74
+18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 14.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
02.12.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
24.06.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
24.09.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 6-0 HT 2-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
18.09.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-2 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
14.03.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-3 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
3-1
AWAY Gainare Tottori
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
302 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United beat Gainare Tottori 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 47% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 53%, shots finished 23-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.83 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori?

Kagoshima United 3-1 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 58%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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