ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 Oct 2025

ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-2 HT 0-1
Fukushima United
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Fukushima United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +31%
0.97/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.16
-36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.5 Crosses 12.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fukushima United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
456 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
06.05.2025 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-4 HT 0-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 Fukushima United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-2
AWAY Fukushima United
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United squeezed past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ThespaKusatsu Gunma at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 42% of the ball to Fukushima United's 58%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 47%, draw 24%, Fukushima United 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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