Ismaily 3-1 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.4pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.16/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.25
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.1 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.26 xG 1.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
325 Passes 177
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-2 HT 0-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
08.01.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
23.08.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-2 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
18.10.2019 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
31.01.2015 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
3-1
AWAY Haras El Hodood
0.94 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
204 Passes 281
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily saw off Haras El Hodood 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Ismaily made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 47% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.94 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Haras El Hodood.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Ismaily and 1.40 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood?

Ismaily 3-1 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 38%, draw 30%, Haras El Hodood 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ismaily) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ismaily) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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