Sandnes Ulf 4-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.54
6+ Goals
11%
5.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.68/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.85
-23% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Arendal
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 19
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
05.04.2025 Arendal Arendal 3-3 HT 1-2 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR3
15.10.2017 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 2-2 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR1
04.07.2017 Arendal Arendal 2-3 HT 1-2 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandnes Ulf
4-1
AWAY Arendal
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf cruised past Arendal 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sandnes Ulf as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sandnes Ulf had 50% of the ball to Arendal's 50%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sandnes Ulf had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sandnes Ulf and 2.33 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal?

Sandnes Ulf 4-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf 55%, draw 22%, Arendal 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandnes Ulf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
18 Oct 2025
14:00 Lysekloster vs Pors Grenland Analysis →
14:00 Jerv vs Vard Haugesund Analysis →
14:00 Strindheim vs Follo Analysis →
15:00 Strommen vs Hönefoss BK Analysis →
16:00 Notodden vs Eik Toensberg Analysis →