Jerv 2-1 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.27/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.91
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
05.04.2025 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
29.09.2024 Jerv Jerv 5-2 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
15.06.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv edged past Vard Haugesund 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jerv had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Jerv and 1.33 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Vard Haugesund?

Jerv 2-1 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Jerv 57%, draw 21%, Vard Haugesund 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
18 Oct 2025
14:00 Lysekloster vs Pors Grenland Analysis →
14:00 Strindheim vs Follo Analysis →
15:00 Strommen vs Hönefoss BK Analysis →
16:00 Notodden vs Eik Toensberg Analysis →
17:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal Analysis →