Vard Haugesund 1-2 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
45%
-11.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 49%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.62/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.05
-60% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
241 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jerv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.09.2024 Jerv Jerv 5-2 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
15.06.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv squeezed past Vard Haugesund 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Jerv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jerv led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vard Haugesund and 3.00 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Jerv?

Vard Haugesund 1-2 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 40%, draw 27%, Jerv 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vard Haugesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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