Hönefoss BK 0-1 Ullensaker / Kisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
17%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ullensaker / Kisa EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ullensaker / Kisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
27.07.2014 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR1
27.04.2014 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 0-1 HT 0-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Ullensaker / Kisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullensaker / Kisa nicked a narrow win over Hönefoss BK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hönefoss BK at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hönefoss BK and 0.00 for Ullensaker / Kisa.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Ullensaker / Kisa?

Hönefoss BK 0-1 Ullensaker / Kisa in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Ullensaker / Kisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 50%, draw 23%, Ullensaker / Kisa 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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