Eik Toensberg 1-1 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eik Toensberg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.32
-22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eik Toensberg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Notodden
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg 1-2 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
14.04.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eik Toensberg
1-1
AWAY Notodden
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eik Toensberg vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eik Toensberg and Notodden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eik Toensberg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eik Toensberg had 47% of the ball to Notodden's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Notodden led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eik Toensberg and 1.00 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Eik Toensberg vs Notodden?

Eik Toensberg 1-1 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eik Toensberg vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eik Toensberg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eik Toensberg 48%, draw 23%, Notodden 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eik Toensberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eik Toensberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
5 Apr 2025
15:00 Vard Haugesund vs Jerv Analysis →
15:00 Sandviken vs Lysekloster Analysis →
15:00 Eidsvold Turn vs Grorud IL Analysis →
15:00 Tromsdalen vs Asker Analysis →
15:00 Hönefoss BK vs Ullensaker / Kisa Analysis →
15:00 Follo vs Strindheim Analysis →