Jerv 5-2 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.91
2-3 Goals
33%
2.06
4-5 Goals
31%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
69%
-21.6pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.6pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.80/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.37
-32% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.06.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv ran out comfortable winners over Vard Haugesund 5-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Vard Haugesund?

Jerv 5-2 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jerv 47%, draw 28%, Vard Haugesund 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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