Stjordals-Blink 2-2 Kjelsas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.43
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjordals-Blink EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.10/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.15
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjordals-Blink
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kjelsas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.07.2024 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-1 HT 0-1 Stjordals-Blink Stjordals-Blink NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjordals-Blink
2-2
AWAY Kjelsas
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stjordals-Blink vs Kjelsas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjordals-Blink and Kjelsas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Stjordals-Blink at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjordals-Blink had 54% of the ball to Kjelsas's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Stjordals-Blink vs Kjelsas?

Stjordals-Blink 2-2 Kjelsas in the Norway - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjordals-Blink vs Kjelsas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjordals-Blink win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stjordals-Blink 47%, draw 31%, Kjelsas 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjordals-Blink) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjordals-Blink) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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