Rudar Velenje 2-1 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.92/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.62
-34% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +99%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gorica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-2 HT 2-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
10.08.2024 Gorica Gorica 3-3 HT 0-2 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
18.11.2023 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
26.10.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
21.05.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
06.11.2021 Gorica Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
2-1
AWAY Gorica
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje nicked a narrow win over Gorica 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 54% of the ball to Gorica's 46%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rudar Velenje and 1.67 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Gorica?

Rudar Velenje 2-1 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 34%, draw 23%, Gorica 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gorica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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