Hatayspor 1-4 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.39
2-3 Goals
35%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.0
1/X
3%
21.7
X/1
9%
16.6
X/2
11%
3.95
X/X
13%
7.98
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
41%
1.56
2/X
6%
18.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.1pp
60%
Away Win
70%
-10.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
Crosses 19.3
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-4
AWAY Çorum FK
0.50 xG 2.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
312 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK ran out comfortable winners over Hatayspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hatayspor had 44% of the ball to Çorum FK's 56%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.50 to 2.97.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Çorum FK?

Hatayspor 1-4 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 18%, draw 22%, Çorum FK 60%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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