Manisa FK 1-1 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
7%
6.7
X/2
15%
4.86
X/X
9%
4.5
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.05
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.31/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.96
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.3 Crosses 21.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
10.11.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
27.01.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
16.04.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-3 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
19.11.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
1-1
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.66 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK and Erzurumspor FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 48% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 52%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.66 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Manisa FK and 0.83 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Manisa FK 1-1 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 27%, draw 25%, Erzurumspor FK 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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