Manisa FK 2-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

Manisa FK
2-0 HT 1-0
Erzurumspor FK
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 39% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.59
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
18%
5.02
X/2
7%
5.93
X/X
15%
3.69
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
11%
4.57
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.4pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manisa FK v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.20/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.10
-15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
15.9 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
16.04.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-3 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
19.11.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
06.02.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
11.09.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L

Manisa FK 2-0 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
2-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
2.46 xG 0.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
204 Passes 355
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK got the better of Erzurumspor FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 38% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 62%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.46 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manisa FK and 1.00 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Manisa FK 2-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 43%, draw 31%, Erzurumspor FK 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
10 Nov 2024
13:30 Bandırmaspor vs Boluspor Analysis →
13:30 Şanlıurfaspor vs Gençlerbirliği Analysis →
19:00 Sakaryaspor vs Kocaelispor Analysis →