Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.93
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
14%
6.3
X/2
15%
4.63
X/X
10%
4.02
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.2
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.02
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.9 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
320 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
07.10.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3-1
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.95 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
352 Passes 403
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor beat Gençlerbirliği 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gençlerbirliği at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 47% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 53%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.95 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.50 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 31%, draw 24%, Gençlerbirliği 44%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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