Sakaryaspor 0-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.38
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.89
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.42
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.19
+33% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.2 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-2 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
23.12.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
28.05.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4-0 HT 3-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2P
15.12.2010 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
13.01.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
25.08.2007 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
0-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.59 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
275 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor squeezed past Sakaryaspor 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Kocaelispor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 52% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.59 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.50 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Sakaryaspor 0-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 38%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sakaryaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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