Manisa FK 0-2 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

Manisa FK
0-2 HT 0-1
Erzurumspor FK
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
16%
3.84
X/2
7%
8.95
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
11%
7.29
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manisa FK v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.54/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.27
-16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.8 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.18 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
16.04.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-3 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
19.11.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
06.02.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
11.09.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L

Manisa FK 0-2 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-2
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.37 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
378 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK saw off Manisa FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manisa FK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manisa FK had 59% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 41%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.37 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manisa FK and 0.80 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Manisa FK 0-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 51%, draw 25%, Erzurumspor FK 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manisa FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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