Çorum FK 1-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.62
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.25
1/2
5%
24.7
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
13%
6.17
X/2
11%
4.89
X/X
14%
4.98
2/1
12%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.08
2/X
11%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 45%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.75/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.02
-100% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
36.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Göztepe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
190 Passes 344
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 5
26.08.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-2 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-1
AWAY Göztepe
1.43 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
272 Passes 211
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Göztepe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çorum FK had 56% of the ball to Göztepe's 44%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.43 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Göztepe?

Çorum FK 1-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 40%, draw 30%, Göztepe 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Çorum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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