Eyüpspor 4-0 Tuzlaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 24% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.42
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
26.0
X/1
18%
3.32
X/2
9%
23.0
X/X
10%
8.08
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
6%
18.9
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.90/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.48
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
27.6 Crosses 9.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tuzlaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.03 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
453 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Tuzlaspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
29.04.2023 Tuzlaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
02.12.2022 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
08.05.2022 Tuzlaspor 3-2 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
15.12.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
14.12.2019 Tuzlaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
4-0
AWAY Tuzlaspor
3.39 xG 0.23
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
531 Passes 301
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Tuzlaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor cruised past Tuzlaspor 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 62% of the ball to Tuzlaspor's 38%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 3.39 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Eyüpspor and 0.67 for Tuzlaspor.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Tuzlaspor?

Eyüpspor 4-0 Tuzlaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Tuzlaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 60%, draw 21%, Tuzlaspor 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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